Famously Wrong Predictions
"640K ought to be enough for
anybody."
Bill Gates, 1981
"Heavier-than-air flying
machines are impossible."
Lord Kelvin,
president, Royal Society, 1895.
"Computers in the future may
weigh no more than 1.5 tons."
Popular Mechanics, forecasting
the relentless march of science, 1949
"I think there is a world
market for maybe five computers."
Thomas Watson, chairman of IBM,
1943
"I have traveled the length and
breadth of this country and talked with the best people, and I can assure you
that data processing is a fad that won't last out the year."
The editor in charge of
business books for Prentice Hall, 1957
"But what ... is it good for?"
Engineer at the Advanced
Computing Systems Division of IBM, 1968,commenting on the microchip.
"There is no reason anyone
would want a computer in their home."
Ken Olson, president, chairman
and founder of Digital Equipment Corp., 1977
"This 'telephone' has too many
shortcomings to be seriously considered as a means of communication. The device
is inherently of no value to us."
Western Union internal memo, 1876.
"The wireless music box has no
imaginable commercial value. Who would pay for a message sent to nobody in
particular?"
David Sarnoff's associates in
response to his urgings for investment in the radio in the 1920s.
"The concept is interesting and
well-formed, but in order to earn better than a 'C,' the idea must be feasible."
A Yale University management
professor in response to Fred Smith's paper proposing reliable overnight
delivery service. (Smith went on to found Federal Express Corp.)
"I'm just glad it'll be Clark
Gable who's falling on his face not Gary Cooper."
Gary Cooper on his decision not
to take the leading role in "Gone With The Wind."
"A cookie store is a bad idea.
Besides, the market research reports say America likes crispy cookies, not soft
and chewy cookies like you make."
Response to Debbi Fields' idea
of starting Mrs. Fields'Cookies.
"We don't like their sound, and
guitar music is on the way out."
Decca Recording Co. rejecting
the Beatles, 1962.
"Heavier-than-air flying
machines are impossible."
Lord Kelvin, president, Royal
Society, 1895.
"So we went to Atari and said,
'Hey, we've got this amazing thing, even built with some of your parts, and what
do you think about funding us? Or we'll give it to you. We just want to do it.
Pay our salary, we'll come work for you.' And they said, 'No.' So then we went
to Hewlett-Packard, and they said, 'Hey, we don't need you. You haven't got
through college yet.'"
Apple Computer Inc. founder
Steve Jobs on attempts to get Atari and HP interested in his and Steve Wozniak's
personal computer.
"Professor Goddard does not
know the relation between action and reaction and the need to have something
better than a vacuum against which to react. He seems to lack the basic
knowledge ladled out daily in high schools."
1921 New York Times editorial
about Robert Goddard's revolutionary rocket work.
"Drill for oil? You mean drill
into the ground to try and find oil? You're crazy."
Drillers who Edwin L. Drake
tried to enlist to his project to drill for oil in 1859.
"Stocks have reached what looks
like a permanently high plateau."
Irving Fisher, Professor of
Economics, Yale University, 1929.
"Airplanes are interesting toys
but of no military value."
Marechal Ferdinand Foch,
Professor of Strategy, Ecole Superieure de Guerre.
"Everything that can be
invented has been invented."
Charles H. Duell, Commissioner,
U.S. Office of Patents, 1899.
"Louis Pasteur's theory of
germs is ridiculous fiction".
Pierre Pachet, Professor of
Physiology at Toulouse, 1872
"The abdomen, the chest, and
the brain will forever be shut from the intrusion of the wise and humane
surgeon".
Sir John Eric Ericksen, British
surgeon, appointed Surgeon-Extraordinary to Queen Victoria 1873.
"$100 million dollars is way
too much to pay for Microsoft."
IBM, 1982
"Who the h_ll wants to hear
actors talk?"
H.M. Warner, Warner Brothers,
1927. |